Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Thorium Fuel Cycle Development in India

Homi Jehangir Bhabha, an Indian physicist, who had, during a pre-World War II stay in Europe, made important discoveries about cosmic rays. Upon his returned to India at the start of the war, he began to campaign for Indian research institutions deveoted to physics and nuclear energy. He quickly established himself as a scientist politician who had the ear of Pandit Nerhu, the first Indian Prime Minister. Shortly after Indian independence in 1948, Bhabha was assigned the task of establishing the Indian Atomic Energy Commission, and developing a nuclear research program.

During the first UN Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy (1955), Bhabha, who was the Conference President, presented a paper on Indian Atomic development. He argued that India lacked energy resources, and in order for the Indian people to have a Western standard of living, Indian electricity must be generated by nuclear means. He noted, "the necessity of obtaining enriched or pure nuclear fuel (plutonium- or uranium-233) for use in future atomic power stations of a more advanced design required the setting up during the next decade of a few atomic power stations designed to produce these materials as well as electric power.”

Bhabha once remarked that "No energy is costlier than no energy". He was what Texans use to call a wheeler-dealer. He used his position at the The First Conference to obtain British, Canadian and American assistance for the Indian nuclear program. Soon Indian Scientists were showing up at Chalk River, Harwell, and Oak Ridge for on the job training.

In addition to training, during the 1950’s, with American support and Canadian help, India began to construct its first reactor, the heavy water Cirus. What the Americans and Canadians did not notice was that the Cirus was capable of producing weapons grade plutonium.

In early 1957, Bhabha summarized his plan for the Indian nuclear energy future,

“It is likely that in the future more advanced and efficient types of atomic power stations will use concentrated atomic fuel, such as uranium-235, uranium-233, or plutonium, rather than the naturally occurring uranium. If we are not to depend on the import of such fuel from abroad, and not to build a gaseous diffusion plant involving an enormous expenditure and technical effort, it is necessary for us to start producing this fuel now by converting natural uranium into plutonium, and thorium into uranium-233 in atomic reactors. If we are therefore, not to lose further ground in the modern world, it is necessary for us to set up some atomic power stations within the coming five years, which will produce plutonium for our future power reactors, in addition to producing electricity now."

Bhabha believed that nuclear generated electricity would play an important future role in the Indian economy, and that India possessed only limited Uranium resources. However, India possessed large thorium reserves. Thus Bhabha believed that the Indian nuclear research must be directed toward the development of the thorium fuel cycle. During the 1950’s Bhabha set out a three stage development program for Indian Nuclear technology.

In the first stage, Heavy water reactors using unenriched uranium derived from India’s limited uranium reserve, would be constructed and begin operating. The use of heavy water reactors meant that India did not need to to develop expensive and power demanding uranium enrichment facilities.

During the second stage, India was to construct Fast Breeder Reactors, which burned plutonium reprocessed from the spent fuel of the heavy water reactors as well as their depleted uranium. India needed to develop breeder technology quickly, because it had limited uranium resources. Breeders allowed India’s uranium supply to be used much more efficiently.

During the third stage thorium was to be bred, and U-233 would fuel Indian power reactors.

This plan enabled India to boot strap its limited nuclear resources, into a viable nuclear energy program. Of course, along the way, something which Pandit Nehru swore on a stack of Bhagavad Gitas would never happen, did. India used some of Bhabha plutonium to build nuclear weapons. But remarkably fifty years later, India is still following Bhabha’s three stage plan for nuclear power development. The plan is now at the beginning of the third stage.

India has 13 heavy water reactors with 4 more under construction. These Indian reactors are smaller than western commercial power reactors. India also has fuel reprocessing facilities, and a developmental breeder reactor. A full scale fast breeder (500,000 MW), which will breed both U-238 and Th-232 in a hybrid fuel cycle, is under construction, and is expected to be completed in 2010. A second large thorium fast breeder, the ATGB is already in the planning stage. The KAMINI test reactor is used to test the use of U-233 produced by the Kalpakkam experimental breeder. A Generation 3+ Thorium fuel cycle Advanced Heavy Water Reactor is also in the planning stage. India plans, by 2020, to have reactors capable of generating 20 GWs of power, most of it using thorium fuel cycle nuclear fuel. Bu 2050, India plans to produce 30% of its electricity from thorium fuel cycle nuclear generating facilities. The Indians believe that their thorium reserve will last them for at least 350 years.

The Indian nuclear program is remarkable in several respects. First, is the depth of Homi Bhabha's understanding of Indian nuclear resources and the sort of nuclear program that would achieve the maximum benefit from his country. The second, was the reliance on the relatively simple CANDU technology, during the first development stage and its continued development through all three stages. Reactors were kept small, 220 MW's, limiting capitol commitment for each reactor. In addition reactor design was given a chance to develop, successive improvements were made as new reactors were designed. Operational experience gave feedback to reactor designers. During the second stage, the full plutonium - thorium - U233 fuel cycle was tested in two small reactors.

Finally, believing that they had mastered all of the individual components of their thorium fuel cycle program, the Indians have set about to build prototypes of commercial reactors that are intended to go into serial production. They have been faithful to Bhabha's vision. They have found a way to highly efficient technology, a technology that is far more efficient in its use of nuclear fuel, than the French/American nuclear system by ingeniously mastering and organizing relatively old nuclear technologies, and leveraging them into a fuel efficient system. By doing so they will achieve EROIE's many times that achieved by Western fuel/reactor systems. The Indian Thorium fuel cycle system will provide electricity to an enormous country for at least 350 years, from 500,000 tons of fuel. Indian scientists and engineers are on the brink of a significant human accomplishment, the realization of Bhabha vision of bringing nuclear generated electricity to India's vast population. - Charles Barton

15 comments:

Robert Hargraves said...

I'm just learning about the thorium molten salt fuel cycle. In addition to this site, here's a good reference.

https://inlportal.inl.gov/portal/server.pt/gateway/PTARGS_0_200_3310_277_2527_43/http%3B/inlpublisher%3B7087/publishedcontent/publish/communities/inl_gov/about_inl/gen_iv___technical_documents/msr_deliverable_doe_global_07_paper.pdf

Kavita said...

I was a part of a group in Ontario, Canada,which met with the ex-president of India, Dr. Kalam about exchanging innovation and commercialization ideas. Dr. Kalam mentioned that it would take India about 7 more years in advancing the technology for using Thorium fuel cycle nuclear fuel. He also mentioned that the process cannot be speeded up as there is not much international expertise/knowledge available in this area of research which is ingeniously developed in India because of it's huge Thorium reserves(as opposed to limited Uranium). Are there any pointers to international research in use of Thorium/similar fuels that can collaborate with the Indian national knowledge platform in fast tracking this work?

Thanks

Kirk Sorensen said...

Yes, progress in the utilization of thorium can be accelerated dramatically by using liquid-fluoride fuels instead of solid-fuels.

The thorium discussion forum is an excellent resource for people working on this kind of technology around the world. There's even a specific section devoted to India.

jagdish said...

Dr. Kalam's estimate of 7 years is an optimistic one considering that the establishment view is to collect sufficient stock of U233 before going for thorium on an industrial scale. Liquid fluoride reactor may take even more to develop without help from an established industry. My own suggestions for irradiating half meter bundles fit for PHWR in a fast reactor and using them directly in PHWR does not seem to have evoked much response. Perhaps Russians shall do it first in their RBMK.

Charles Barton said...

The Indians are suffering from a serious uranium shortage right now. It isa not clear from accounts I have read, why this is the case., because given their reported uranium reserve, they should not have run out of uranium yet. Their attempts to purchase uranium on the international market appear to have been stymied by US anti-proliferation policies, and the realities of Indian defense problems. India does have 2 nuclear armed neighbors, hence straddling the indians with an anti-proliferation, limits India's powers of self-defense.

One alternative would be for the United States to sell India "spent nuclear fuel." "Spent fuel, is proliferation resistant. The 0.8% U-235 content of "spent fuel" would work well in India's heavy water reactors. India has the technology to extract the reactor grade plutonium in the "spent fuel", and it could be fed into India's new breeder (really hybrid breeder/converter) reactors, that are scheduled to come on line starting about 2010. U-233 production will only begin as the new breeder/converters come into operation, and will be a slow process.

jagdish said...

Us is hesitant to dispose of its spent fuel by reprocessing it and has not permitted reprocessing the spent fuel of TAPS-I and II. There is not much hope of selling spent fuel for reprocessing.
The communists, who support the govt in most matters, have blocked the Indo-US nuclear treaty. the environmentalists shall block the import of spent fuel in India if US agreed.

Zenter said...

A Beautifully written article, thanks Mr. Barton, I learned a lot. Somewhere in your comments you expressed puzzlement as to why India would be short of Uranium. Your confusion is justified, India is estimated to possess anywhere from 80,000 to 100,000 tons of Uranium, which is plenty for at least 1 generation. Unfortunately, the problems lies with a current shortfall in uranium mining milling capacity. Now here's where it gets suspicious, the reason India is short on mining and refinement capacity is because the same guy that has rammed the India-US nuclear thru in the Indian parliament is one of the guys that CUT THE BUDGET to uranium exploration, mining and milling efforts back in the early 1990s, that's right Mr. Manmohan Singh, India's current Prime Minister. Now, its not clear if he and subsequent finance ministers were forced to do this by Western controlled institutions like the IMF and World Bank when India was in a financial crisis in the early 1990s or whether he and his colleagues acted on their own.

Nonetheless it does seem to me that the US government doesn't like the prospect of the Thorium cycle succeeding too soon, just like they killed this successful technology in US in the late 1960s and the mid 1970s. And the fear in India's nuclear circles is that one objective of the US/India nuclear deal is to destroy the business case for doing Thorium, and thereby freeze or slowdown further developments on Thorium front. The United States has sabotaged foreign or disruptive technologies in the past (like the famous Canadian Avro Arrow Supersonic fighter program). Or (less arguably) the Israeli LAVI jet program, which washington was hell bent on shutting down; the did it by destroying the business case for Israel to manufacture their own LAVI jet by providing practically free F-15s and F16s if Israel scrapped the LAVI.

Is it possible the US government and current nuclear industry corporates shutdown the US Thorium program because a successful Thorium fuel cycle would break the NSG cartels uranium monopoly? Is this the real motivation to suddenly offer India a deal? Or was is the Thorium was not appearing viable in the 1960-70s? Only experts like and mr sorenson may able to answer that.

Zenter said...

Sorry last sentence should have read: Only experts like You and Mr. Sorenson may able to answer that.

Kirk Sorensen said...

I think the story of why thorium and the fluoride reactor got shot down in the US is pretty simple--it was in competition with the liquid-metal fast breeder (whose real goal was weapons-grade plutonium for the military) and the fluoride reactor cast the safety and proliferation issues of the LMFBR into sharp relief. So they needed to kill the MSBR in the early 1970s and did so.

We need to reverse that ancient and flawed decision.

zenter said...

Thanks Kirk, that makes sense and helps clear things up. I think we need to continue to raise people's awareness of the benefits of the thorium/fluoride reactor.

zenter said...

Dear Mr Sorenson,

The more I read about the Indo-US nuclear deal, especially articles written by nuclear scientists and strategic analysts, the more I become convinced that the US administration will use the agreement to destroy the business case for India to continue development of Thorium nuclear power. Thorium would give India total autonomy/independence from the international Uranium "Cartel" and would make it possible for other states to also break this cartels monopoly of nuclear fuel. The recent US breaking of an agreement with Russia (unilaterally by the US) on civilian nuclear technology further underlines my point (how does this typical reneging on signed agreements by the US government affect Thorium Power Inc. and their work with Kurchatov Institute?). Other than the US gov's goals of using the deal a means to cripple India's nuclear weapons program (by preventing further tests and by reducing plutonium production), it looks like the deal is also going to damage Thorium development, precisely because it negates India dependence on fuel imports and thereby negates future US leverage over India. It's sad that such a good source of energy is once again going to be denied to the world to satisfy washington's sick desire to keep energy 'not-cheap and plentiful', and to maintain the geopolitical status quo intact. I wish I were wrong, but sadly, I don't think I am.

jagdish said...

musscWhat was written could well be the intention of some of interested parties. There are enemies of progress in US and in India. Hopefully, the waiver from NSG shall enable nuclear trade between India and France and Russia. Some Americans and Japanese shall join for their trade share. I think India's options are open.

Kirk Sorensen said...

Hello Mr. Zenter,

It seems to be common practice (both here and on the forum) for folks to see sinister motives in US plans with India, but I simply don't agree that the US is operating under such intentions. I continue to believe that fluoride reactor technology, which the US developed and has made publicly available for over forty years, continues to offer the best hope for nations like India to develop thorium for their own energy independence.

zenter said...

Dear Jagdish,

I wish the scenario you drew, regarding India having open options, is consistent with the actual signed agreement, but unfortunately it does not appear to be. The Hyde Act and the Indo-US nuke deal specifically contains language whereby, the US will cease all further trade with India in the event of another nuclear weapons test AND is obliged to call an emergency meeting of the NSG to 'convince' (i.e. force them) them to embargo India as well. In addition, thanks to the 'Obama' amendment to the deal, India will not be permitted to stockpile a supply of uranium (like the US does with petroleum) to protect itself from a fuel supply disruption. In effect, India will be trickle-fed enough uranium to keep its newly purchased reactors operating, but not allowed any buffer or cushion. This, in effect, leaves India open to nuclear blackmail from a number of parties in the NSG cartel (similar to the kind of blackmail the US faced from the OPEC cartel in the 1970s when they embargoed the US). So even, if India purchases its reactors, or fuel or components from non-US NSG members, it is as vulnerable to a cut-off of supplies as if it had purchased directly from the US.

It gets worse, while India is obliged to keep its commitments IN PERPETUITY laid out in the deal, even if the other party violates their end of the agreement, there are no obligations on the US to keep any of their commitments in perpetuity. If the conditions I laid out above stay in effect, then it would be very hard to argue against the conclusion that Manmohan Singh may have sold his country out.

There is an unfortunate tendency amongst many Indians (not specifically you), to believe what they hope to be true and not what might actually be true.

zenter said...

Dear Mr. Sorensen,

I do believe your statement:

It seems to be common practice (both here and on the forum) for folks to see sinister motives in US plans with India,

seems to be a bit patronizing towards me and the mainly Indian commentators that are unconvinced of the US administration's intentions.

You're implying that I am also stating a 'sinister' motives scenario. Let me clearly state that that is not the basis of my views. Senator Biden himself (the outspoken politician that he tends to be) has gone on record stating: "this deal will cap the size and sophistication of India's nuclear weapons program"; there you have it, no conspiracy theory here, the chairman of the US foreign relations committee's own words. (meaning by preventing India from testing and perfecting their thermonuclear weapons, they will 'cap' the 'sophistication' i.e. reliability of the Indian nuclear deterrent.) Given the existence of a terrorist-sponsoring fanatical Islamist nuclear armed near anarchy (aka Pakistan) on India's western border and the existence of a ruthless and expansionist nuclear armed communist dictatorship on India's eastern border; if that isn't inimical to India's security interests, then one wonders what is?

With respect to the impact on Thorium reactor research, I made my statement based on non-political (apolitical) technical articles made by French and European consultants on websites dedicated to electrical power and nuclear power issues. The writers of these articles and whitepapers have openly stated that US-India nuclear deal (and the resulting easier access to cheaper uranium) may reduce or even stop Indian efforts to complete their thorium reactor deployment.

An example of this is the following article written by consultant Richard B Gasparre for the website www.power-technology.com (http://www.power-technology.com/features/feature1141/) where he states:
Industry observers believe that even India may not carry on with thorium reactors if it can obtain reliable uranium supplies.
You will note that this article spends considerable space in describing the work of 'Thorium Power' Inc. and its successful work with the Kurchatov Institute.

There are other authors that have made similar conclusions (non-political/non-indian) but it would redundant (and time consuming) for me to include those quotes and articles here.